Monday, October 24, 2016

Sovereign Wealth Funds


What should have been done, still needs to be done. Policies, legally enshrined, to save a minimum percentage of annual revenues in addition to a percentage of collected surpluses, when applicable. Invest these savings from royalty on non-renewable depleting resources and materials in a fund with long-term objectives and, at the same time, invest savings from surpluses achieved in previous years in a fund with short and medium term objectives. Minimizing the politics in a country's economic performance, by establishing firm rules, terms and conditions for withdrawals or other financial usages, is crucial. Such funds should only be used to develop export driven industries which will earn foreign exchange and/or reduce debt servicing in future years.


An economy, which depends on extracting and mining of irreplaceable natural raw materials, must save and invest in a Heritage Fund for the inevitable end of revenue from such particular industries. Deposits into the fund should be a fixed preset percentage of the previous year's collected revenues from such industries, whether there was a surplus or deficit. This amount should have been and still must be invested internationally in equivalent strong currencies with a long-term focus. Withdrawals or legal assignments of the Heritage Fund's principal or interest should be limited and linked only to clear reductions of independently and professionally identified industry's product reserves, and used only for other industry development, targeting export markets and earning hard currencies.

An economy, which forecast to operate with deficit from time to time due to price or production fluctuations, must save and invest in a Stabilization Fund supplied from previous years of surpluses to offset and smoothen out high revenue declines and essential expenditure increases. Depositing a high portion of sums from years in which there was surpluses collected and investing these sums internationally in hard currencies through a diverse portfolio with short to medium objectives, should have been and is still the plan. Withdrawals or consignments of the Stabilization Fund's principal or interest should be legally limited and linked only to the approved debt ceiling in years of budget deficits and used only to fund existing social programmes at prior levels hence, reducing borrowing needs.

Having room under the approved debt ceiling and, of course, the ability to service existing and new borrowings, in the related currency, is key in successfully managing an economy, hence, using such new borrowings for much needed economic activities; developing industries and strengthening social support. It helps to understand, an economy is best describe by population ratios of taxpaying employed individuals to social programme users, as opposed to Government vs. Opposition policies, because there is very little that can be done without both sides agreeing; one side promoting social investment in people and the other saying infrastructure improvements are first needed.

Investing in infrastructure; developing foreign exchange earning export industries, or investing in social services; security, healthcare, education, shelter, will both always require sound economic projections based in reality and financed through local or foreign borrowings. Such increases in debt is justify and made much easier if, and would not it be nice to have; a Heritage Fund with a minimum of 10% of the revenue collected over the past ten years from the extractive industry, enough to fully back new industry needed infrastructure projects and attract new private investment, and a Stabilization Fund with an amount equal to the present budgetary current expenditure held in reserve.

Read More:
Assessing Constantly Transformed Policies, Projects and Programmes.
To gauge and forecast long-term economic effects (Preservation and Growth). 
The key roles of An Independent Office Of Budgets (OOB) is to inform the Public on the effects of Proposals & Decisions, to make State Enterprises Attractive to Investors, to dispose of Loss Makers, to predict Economic Growth and Declines and to track Sectors & Industries Advances.

Rationale

T.A.J & Associates Company Limited uses this occasion to comment on topics that have been covered, both academically and by the mainstream media, to add its opinion and point out investment opportunity, not to invoke any social action.