Monday, November 19, 2018

Fiscal Policy 2019




The nation, the state, the citizenry, the people must be taught and constantly reminded to appreciate that their very well-being, their basic standard of living, and any expansion in their nation’s economy depends on sound fiscal policy. The means by which spending adjustments to Resource Preservation, Human Development, Infrastructure Management, Economic Drivers, Fiscal Policy and Governance are made bringing expenditure into line with expected revenues to influence economic growth, controlled by the elected branch of Government, the executive cabinet, under the direction of a Minister of Finance. Fiscal policy, functioning on a budgetary allocation; 30.15% of the nation’s total expenditure, as reported by the office of the Auditor General 2017 and 32.48 in the 2018 revised estimates, while estimating 30.19% for 2019 down by 4.91%, as published by the Ministry of Finance. This category, comprises the Ministry of Finance, Charges on Account of the Public Debt and Pensions and Gratuities, must focus efforts on increasing productivity and revenue collection while, reducing the nation's debt and debt servicing expense.


The Ministry of Finance (MoF), with 35.43% for 2019 of the Fiscal Policy funding, most of which services and repays debt; Crystallized Guarantees/Letters of Comfort the original borrowing entity could not repay, the associated interest and Interest on the overdraft held at the Central Bank, hopes to reduce this burden and stop the issuance of any new Guarantees/Letters of Comfort. The ministry continues to work closely with the Central Bank, the protectors of the local currency and architects of Monetary Policy. The MoF is primarily in charge of the national budget and the state of the economy; forecasting revenue and collections, approving and disbursing funds previously allocated to budgeted expenditure, negotiating borrowing terms and conditions within the authorized debt ceilings, retiring debt, and dealing with unforeseen expenditures, all to bring about a fair distribution of wealth or of sacrifice.

Noting that, fiscal policy is akin to and heavily dependent on monetary policy, through which the Central Bank influences the money supply. The Central Bank, in independent control of monetary policy, primary purpose is the promotion of monetary, credit and exchange conditions most favorable to the development of the economy. Whereas, the MoF General Administration, has responsibility for ensuring that Government’s fiscal policies are implemented by the respective Divisions and provides the support services required to facilitate the efficient functioning of all other Divisions. These other Divisions are Budget, Customs and Excise, Inland Revenue, Treasury, Investments, Central Tenders Board, Valuation, National Insurance Appeal Board Tribunal, Financial Intelligence Unit and Office of the Supervisor of Insolvency.

It is public information that, the MoF pays annual contributions to Regional, Commonwealth and International bodies and into Special Purpose Funds, other transfers go towards numerous revolving accounts to support statutory, regulatory and other operating expenses; Betting Levy Board, Infrastructure Development Fund, Government Assistance for Tuition Expenses Fund, CARICOM Petroleum Fund, Heritage and Stabilisation Fund-Operating Expenses, etc. The MOF is also expected to subsidized and pay bills on behalf of commercial entities; Agricultural Development Bank, Mortgage Finance Company Limited, Sugar Manufacturing Company Ltd., Caroni (1975) Limited, East Port of Spain Development Co. Ltd., BWIA, PETROTRIN, International Financial Centre, Allutrint - Operating Expenses, to name a few. The MoF directly services debt resulting from the Crystallization of Guarantees/Letters of Comfort, which the borrowing quasi-government entities can no longer honor, with Interest Charges and Principal Repayments, and also pays the Interest on its Central Bank Overdraft. And the MoF estimates needing funds to upgrade administration systems, renovate public buildings and training drug detection dogs for the customs and excise division.

Charges on Public Debts, with 44.77% for 2019 of the Fiscal Policy funding, is the direct responsibility of the MoF’s borrowings to fund past and present estimates of expenditure, as the management of outstanding debts and debt servicing, have serious implications for the nation’s international credit rating and further on the abilities to further borrow. These Charges refers to the debt repayment– the repayment of principal amounts in full or in installment and debt servicing – the interest charges and other fees associated with the debt. The nation issues three types of debt instruments; Treasury Bills – short term less than 365 days discount bills to finance Central Bank operations, Treasury Notes – medium term 1-5 years discount notes to finance Central Bank functions, and Government Bonds – long term durations for specific and defined purposes. Such financial instruments can be privately held by commercial lenders or publicly traded with clear transactional terms.

Pensions and Gratuities, estimated at 19.80% for 2019 of the Fiscal Policy funding, provide for Public Officers, who have given service to the nation and are entitled to Pensions and Gratuities upon retirement. Such pensions, totally or partially contributed, and if partially, deducted from the officer’s salary would have been invested, while gratuity is seen as a gift or reward for services rendered. This is obligated to be paid on a timely basis, and therefore, must undergo some reform to improve accuracy and efficiencies. Noting that, some retirees’ benefits are passed on to their Dependents.

Rationale
T.A.J & Associates Company Limited uses this occasion to comment on topics that have been covered, both academically and by the mainstream media, to add its opinion and point out investment opportunity, not to invoke any social action.